Tornado Seminar today – Will be posted afterwards – StonyBrook

TOPICS IN ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC SCIENCES SEMINAR

Wednesday, September 12th
12:00 Noon
Endeavour Hall 120

SPEAKER:

Dr. Michael Tippett
International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Columbia University

TOPIC:

"Association of Tornado Occurrence with Environmental Parameters"

Abstract

Monthly U.S. tornado numbers are related to observation-based monthly averaged atmospheric parameters. Poisson regression is used to form an index which captures the climatological spatial distribution and seasonal variation of tornado occurrence, as well as year-to-year variability, and provides a framework for extended range forecasts of tornado activity. Computing the same index with predicted atmospheric parameters from a comprehensive forecast model gives some evidence of the predictability of monthly tornado activity.

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